Global semiconductor industry forecast for the next 5 years

While China's electronics industry has achieved world-renowned development performance, it is increasingly closely related to the global electronics industry. The development trend of the global electronics industry has important reference value for China's overall development. We have clearly realized that China is in the process of transition from “manufacturing center” to “design center”, and as a big country that will define design as one of the future development directions, we will master the development of technology and new applications. It plays a decisive role in the healthy development of the entire industry.
As a well-known global market analysis organization, Gartner recently announced its forecast of the global semiconductor industry in Hong Kong, which can also comprehensively reflect the development of the future electronics industry. The following is an analysis of Gartner data for your reference:
First, the average growth rate of global semiconductors between 2006 and 2011 will not exceed 10%, and the industry is showing a steady development trend, and will not appear in the ups and downs of the past 20 years. At the same time, the average sales growth rate of the top 15 semiconductor companies in the world in 2006 was 7%. Faced with this development situation, global (including Chinese) semiconductor companies need to study product strategies related to this stable development.
Second, the value of semiconductor chips is shifting from traditional chip suppliers to lower-cost foundries, which will further diversify semiconductor design companies and manufacturing operations.
Third, under the premise that memory, ASSP, and microprocessor still occupy the main market share, the top five devices in the growth rate are non-optical sensors, optical devices, analog devices, ASSPs, and ASICs within five years.
Fourth, in the middle of 2006, consumer electronics became an important force driving the semiconductor industry, including game consoles, portable media players, LCD TVs, and portable storage devices. In the next few years, wireless technologies such as Bluetooth and WLAN will be more integrated into consumer electronics, and digitally-enabled digital set-top boxes, DVD players and recordable DVDs will become the core of digital home networks. The status of the media PC as a multimedia center is limited. At the same time, NAND memory poses a threat to HDDs smaller than 2.5 inches.
Fifth, LCD is still the mainstream technology of TV, and plasma and CRT are squeezed into the field of pending niche.
Sixth, by 2010, it is expected that 17% of portable media players can get content directly from the PC.
Seventh, computers and mobile phones remain the mainstay of the global electronics industry until 2011.
Eighth, the integration of wireless functions and the expansion of storage capabilities have further enhanced the PC's ability to back up data. For wireless functions, short-range is mainly Bluetooth and UWB, while long-range wireless communication involves WLAN, 3G and WiMAX. Among them, short-range wireless communication will first replace the cable in the home appliance. Ninth, by 2011, 3C industry, automobile, industrial control, military/aerospace and other applications are still showing a single positive growth, but the growth rate of automobile and industrial control will be 2 to 6 higher than that of the traditional 3C industry. Percentage points.
Tenth, the focus of the industry has shifted from “killer application” to “killer function”. The steady development of the electronics industry has made product differentiation a key factor. As mentioned in previous issues, 2007 and the next few years should be defined as “application years”, and the topics covered will be more “integration”, “integration” and “differentiation”.



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